Read time:
The Democrats at the top of the ticket are opening up sizeable advantages one month before election day, according to new survey results from the Wason Center for Civic Leadership at Christopher Newport University. Among likely Virginia voters, Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump by 11 points in the presidential race and Tim Kaine leads Hung Cao by 20 points in the U.S. Senate contest.
Summary of Key Findings:
- Democrat Kamala Harris leads Republican Donald Trump by 11 points, 52% to 41% among Virginia likely voters; 4% remain undecided, while 3% say they will vote for someone else.
- Harris’ lead over Trump is built on an advantage among women (+20), Independents (+15), Black voters (+54) and college educated voters (+20); Trump receives support from Republican voters (94%), with a very narrow lead among white voters (48% to 47%).
- In the U.S. Senate race, Democrat Tim Kaine leads Republican Hung Cao by 20 pints among Virginia likely voters, 55% to 35%; 8% say they are undecided and 2% say they will vote for someone else.
- Top of mind issues for Virginia likely voters include inflation and the economy (29%), threats to democracy (18%), immigration (11%), and abortion (10%).
- Virginia likely voters say Harris would do a better job than Trump handling an array of policy issues with a narrow lead on inflation and the economy (49% to 48%), a moderate advantage on threats to democracy (54% to 40%) and a large advantage on abortion (60% to 32%), racial inequality (61% to 31%) and climate change (61% to 29%); Trump has a narrow advantage over Harris on handling immigration (49% to 48%).
For additional information or media inquiries, please contact:
Dr. Rebecca Bromley-Trujillo
Wason Center Research Director
Email: rebecca.bromleytrujillo@cnu.edu
Office: (757) 594-9140
Mobile: (269) 598-5008
Cami Castleberry
Wason Center Director
Email: cami.castleberry@cnu.edu
Office: (757) 594-8033
Mobile: (757) 897-4966